Last year, we asked a film reviewer and a mathematician to use their very particular skill sets to predict who would win the top prizes at the 95th Academy Awards.

The results were a draw — both managed to get seven out of 10 correct — so we’ve invited them back for another crack at forecasting the outcome of Hollywood’s night of nights.

In one corner is film reviewer Luke Goodsell, who has critiqued movies for the ABC, The Monthly, Empire, and more.

In the other is American mathematician Ben Zauzmer, who penned the book Oscarmetrics: The Math Behind The Biggest Night in Hollywood, and whose computations are sought out every year by The Hollywood Reporter.

Here are their predictions, and you can see if they’re correct on Monday, March 11 from 10:30am AEDT.

Oppenheimer, featuring Matt Damon and Cillian Murphy, is the favourite to win best film at the Oscars.(Supplied: Universal)

Best picture

The critic says: Oppenheimer

Unless voters unite for Barbie on behalf of the unnominated Greta Gerwig and Margot Robbie (which would be pretty funny) — or some weird preferential distribution crowns The Holdovers, a nice movie everyone can agree on — it’s safe to say Oppenheimer has this one on lock. Christopher Nolan’s epic has swept pretty much everything, which makes this category a little anticlimactic — but the film is a solid choice for the prize.

The mathematician says: Oppenheimer

No doubt about this one. Oppenheimer won nearly every award there is to win down the home stretch of awards season, and any other result would be a major upset.

Christopher Nolan looks likely to win his first Oscar from his second nomination for best director.(News Video)

Best director

The critic says: Christopher Nolan (Oppenheimer)

As a former Nolan skeptic, I never thought I’d see the day where I’d say he’s every bit deserving of winning this (even if Martin Scorsese probably deserves it more). Between his two decades of delivering smart blockbusters and fighting to preserve the theatrical experience, he commands a massive amount of peer respect; plus, he’s been totally charming and gracious on the awards trail.

The mathematician says: Christopher Nolan (Oppenheimer)

Just like best picture, best director is Oppenheimer’s category to lose. Nolan is in a strong position after winning the Golden Globe, BAFTA, Directors Guild, and plenty of other honours.

Our experts predict a few easy wins for Oppenheimer at the Oscars.(Supplied: Universal)

Best actor

The critic says: Cillian Murphy (Oppenheimer)

It kinda looked like Paul Giamatti might have a shot here but at this stage — with Murphy collecting the Screen Actors Guild (SAG) honours, on top of pretty much everything else — the Oppenheimer lead has got this one. I mean, the man starved himself, cracked his head open, and kept a straight face while quoting the Bhagavad Gita to Florence Pugh during a sex scene — he’s earned it.

The mathematician says: Cillian Murphy (Oppenheimer)

Murphy, but Paul Giamatti (The Holdovers) is in the running. The two Golden Globe winners started out neck and neck, but Murphy’s recent winning streak and Oppenheimer’s overall momentum are enough to make him the frontrunner.

Lily Gladstone (left) has been locked in a tight battle with Emma Stone for the best actress gongs this awards season.(Supplied: Apple TV+)

Best actress

The critic says: Lily Gladstone (Killers Of The Flower Moon)

Tough call. Gladstone and Emma Stone (Poor Things) have split the awards to date (let’s just ignore the BAFTAs, which didn’t even have the sense to nominate the former), with the Killers of the Flower Moon star’s SAG win pushing this back toward a close race. Gladstone’s win would be historical (whereas Stone won the category only a few years ago), and I suspect a lot of voters might be moved by that — assuming the Academy can get over its bias against quiet, internalised performances (and not fall for actors saying “naughty” words in period pieces yet again).

The mathematician says: Lily Gladstone (Killers Of The Flower Moon)

By my calculations, Gladstone is nearly tied with Emma Stone (Poor Things). This is the single closest race of the night. My model gives Gladstone a 1.3 per cent edge over Stone, but that’s pretty close to saying it’s a coin toss.

Robert Downey Jr. is the hot favourite to win his first Oscar for his role in Oppenheimer.(Supplied: Universal)

Best supporting actor

The critic says: Robert Downey Jr. (Oppenheimer)

Does anyone really wanna see him go back to making Marvel movies? Give this man his award already, so we can all move on.

The mathematician says: Robert Downey Jr. (Oppenheimer)

Unlike the lead acting categories, the supporting roles are easy. Look for Robert Downey Jr. to finally win his first Oscar, short of a major upset.

Da’Vine Joy Randolph has already won a Golden Globe for her role in The Holdovers.(Supplied: Universal/Seacia Pavao)

Best supporting actress

The critic says: Da’Vine Joy Randolph (The Holdovers)

It’s pretty much a given that Randolph has this in the bag, but I wouldn’t be entirely surprised (nor unhappy) to see America Ferrera pull an upset in this category, considering both its historical track record and the fact that people really, really love that Barbie speech. Then again, last year’s surprise Oscar winner, Jamie Lee Curtis, also won the SAG — and Randolph’s recent win there seals the deal.

The mathematician says: Da’Vine Joy Randolph (The Holdovers)

Just like Downey Jr., Randolph swept every major award for supporting actress this awards season, and there’s no reason to believe she won’t wrap up her run with an Oscar statuette.

Best original screenplay

The critic says: Past Lives

The mathematician says: Anatomy Of A Fall

Best adapted screenplay

The critic says: Oppenheimer

The mathematician says: American Fiction

Spider-Woman and Spider-Man 2099 in action in Spider-Man: Across The Spider-Verse.(Supplied: Sony Pictures)

Best animated feature

The critic says: Spider-Man: Across The Spider-Verse

The mathematician says: Spider-Man: Across The Spider-Verse

Best international feature

The critic says: The Zone Of Interest

The mathematician says: The Zone Of Interest